The Mexican currency (peso) dropped on concerns that demand for Mexican exports will drop, the fall in the peso came after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke announced a deteriorating U.S. economy.
The fall in the Mexican currency wiped out early gains that were fueled by the expectation that the Mexican central bank will maintain its benchmark interest rate at 7.5% tomorrow.
Investors expect the Peso to bounce back due to the widening gap in the difference between the U.S. and Mexican interest rates, with Mexican assets looking increasingly attractive.
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The Mexican currency (peso) saw gains today after the Federal Reserve cut the U.S. interest rate by 50 basis points. The move by the Fed has made yields in emerging market assets more attractive.
The Fed has lowered the benchmark interest rate to 3% in an attempt to prevent the U.S. economy from falling into a recession. The benchmark interest rate in Mexico is currently 7.5%.
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Expectations continue to build that the Federal Reserve will pause its rates tightening cycle in August, this will result in Forex traders cutting their long USD positions.
The latest release of minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee meeting (FOMC) revealed that Fed officials are uncertain about the future interest rate direction and are concerned about short term inflation.
Forex Investors reacted to the release of minutes from the FOMC by continuing to reduce their USD holdings, this saw the Euro rise to a high of 1.2650 USD overnight from 1.2590.
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Ben S. Bernanke rattled world financial markets Monday with his tough talk about combating inflation, but he also buffed up his image as a strong US Federal Reserve chairman committed to the fight, analysts said yesterday.
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The USD extended a recovery on Tuesday from one-year lows against the Euro after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s pledge to stay vigilant against inflation left the door open for another interest rate rise later in June.
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