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The USD extended losses on Wednesday after a higher-than-expected reading of U.S. inflation for May did little to dispel uncertainty about interest rate increases beyond an expected hike in late June.

After seven consecutive sessions of gains in the dollar against the Euro, traders trimmed their positions after the Consumer Price Index data cemented the chances of a June Fed rate hike but shed little light on policy moves beyond that.

“The June rate hike was already priced in by the market,” said Marc Chandler, head of global currency strategy with Brown Brothers Harriman in New York.

“Although there’s a slight bias in the market towards another rate hike in August, the May CPI data doesn’t really help us judge what the Fed will do that far out,” he added.

“Short-term players were long dollars going into the data and got squeezed a bit,” said a currency trader with an asset management firm in New York.

The “core” consumer price index, excluding food and energy prices, rose a greater-than-expected 0.3 percent and the annual rate edged up to 2.4 percent, exceeding the upper threshold of what some Fed officials consider acceptable.

Growing expectations that the Fed will raise rates this month and possibly beyond, as well as a diminished appetite for risk, have boosted the U.S. currency this week.

Futures market have fully priced in a quarter percentage point rate hike by the Fed on June 29, the 17th such increase in two years. Traders will now look to the potential for the Fed to raise rates once again at its August meeting.

“The issue now is after June,” Greg Anderson, senior foreign exchange strategist with ABN-AMRO Bank in Chicago, said. “To be fair, the Fed doesn’t know and we don’t know. It will depend on the data,” he said.

Markets are expecting further euro zone rate hikes after the European Central Bank raised rates by 25 basis points to 2.75 percent last week, but investors have scaled back their expectations for the pace of tightening after comments by ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet following the meeting.

Fed officials including Chairman Ben Bernanke have made clear their concerns about inflation risks in the past week, cementing expectations for overnight rates to rise at the Fed’s next policy meeting on June 28-29.

SOURCE: Reuters

JON’S COMMENTS:
Well, I really thought that this news should have given the US Dollar a bit more of a break although I had a bearish view on it and knew this rally should remain fairly short lived. It really turned around quicker than I expected today so let see how it plays up in the coming days/week. My bearish dollar sentiment is surely reinforced here.

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Posted June 14th, 2006 by Jon
Posted in Forex News |



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